FC Masters
All picks
Azerbaijan Premier League, World
Araz
Zira

Solid pick

3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

42%Araz 31%Draw 27%Zira

Goals

1.3Araz expected goals 1.0Zira
Over 1.5 goals 67%
Over 2.5 goals 39%
Over 3.5 goals 19%
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Under 3.5 goals 81%
Under 4.5 goals 92%
Both teams score 46%
Home team scores 72%
Away team scores 63%
Home team over 1.5 goals 36%
Away team over 1.5 goals 26%

Safer ways to back a side

Araz or draw 73%
Zira or draw 58%
Either team wins 69%
Araz, draw no bet 60%
Zira, draw no bet 40%
Araz +1.5 90%
Zira +1.5 81%
Araz +1 (Asian) 87%
Zira +1 (Asian) 75%
Araz or draw, 2 or more goals 49%
Zira or draw, 2 or more goals 38%
Araz or draw, 3 or more goals 26%
Zira or draw, 3 or more goals 18%
Araz win, both score 16%
Araz win, they blank 26%
Zira win, both score 11%
Zira win, they blank 16%
Araz score 2 or fewer 86%
Zira score 2 or fewer 92%

The numbers behind it

ArazZira
0.8Scored per game1.3
2.1Conceded per game1.3
1.8Scored, last 51.4
9Games this season9

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.