3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

77% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.1 goals.

Who wins?

29%Van BB 30%Draw 41%Sarıyer

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Van BB expected goals 1.2Sarıyer

Over 1.5 goals 65%

Over 2.5 goals 36%

Over 3.5 goals 17%

Under 2.5 goals 64%

Under 3.5 goals 83%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 44%

Home team scores 59%

Away team scores 71%

Home team over 1.5 goals 23%

Away team over 1.5 goals 36%

Van BB or draw 59%

Sarıyer or draw 71%

Either team wins 70%

Van BB, draw no bet 41%

Sarıyer, draw no bet 59%

Van BB +1.5 80%

Sarıyer +1.5 91%

Van BB +1 (Asian) 74%

Sarıyer +1 (Asian) 89%

Van BB or draw, 2 or more goals 35%

Sarıyer or draw, 2 or more goals 48%

Van BB or draw, 3 or more goals 16%

Sarıyer or draw, 3 or more goals 25%

Van BB win, both score 10%

Van BB win, they blank 16%

Sarıyer win, both score 15%

Sarıyer win, they blank 28%

Van BB score 2 or fewer 93%

Sarıyer score 2 or fewer 87%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.