2 or more goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

76% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.9 goals in this match.

Who wins?

30%Heilongjiang Lava Spring 26%Draw 44%Shenzhen Juniors

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.1Heilongjiang Lava Spring expected goals 1.7Shenzhen Juniors

Over 1.5 goals 79%

Over 2.5 goals 55%

Over 3.5 goals 33%

Under 2.5 goals 45%

Under 3.5 goals 67%

Under 4.5 goals 83%

Both teams score 57%

Home team scores 68%

Away team scores 82%

Home team over 1.5 goals 32%

Away team over 1.5 goals 51%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw 56%

Shenzhen Juniors or draw 70%

Either team wins 74%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring, draw no bet 40%

Shenzhen Juniors, draw no bet 60%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring +1.5 72%

Shenzhen Juniors +1.5 90%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring +1 (Asian) 65%

Shenzhen Juniors +1 (Asian) 88%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw, 2 or more goals 38%

Shenzhen Juniors or draw, 2 or more goals 60%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw, 3 or more goals 22%

Shenzhen Juniors or draw, 3 or more goals 40%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring win, both score 13%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring win, they blank 11%

Shenzhen Juniors win, both score 25%

Shenzhen Juniors win, they blank 25%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring score 2 or fewer 89%

Shenzhen Juniors score 2 or fewer 75%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.