3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

75% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

31%Suzhou Dongwu 30%Draw 38%Yanbian Longding FC

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Suzhou Dongwu expected goals 1.3Yanbian Longding FC

Over 1.5 goals 67%

Over 2.5 goals 39%

Over 3.5 goals 19%

Under 2.5 goals 61%

Under 3.5 goals 81%

Under 4.5 goals 92%

Both teams score 45%

Home team scores 59%

Away team scores 74%

Home team over 1.5 goals 22%

Away team over 1.5 goals 39%

Suzhou Dongwu or draw 62%

Yanbian Longding FC or draw 69%

Either team wins 70%

Suzhou Dongwu, draw no bet 45%

Yanbian Longding FC, draw no bet 55%

Suzhou Dongwu +1.5 78%

Yanbian Longding FC +1.5 92%

Suzhou Dongwu +1 (Asian) 71%

Yanbian Longding FC +1 (Asian) 90%

Suzhou Dongwu or draw, 2 or more goals 34%

Yanbian Longding FC or draw, 2 or more goals 51%

Suzhou Dongwu or draw, 3 or more goals 15%

Yanbian Longding FC or draw, 3 or more goals 28%

Suzhou Dongwu win, both score 9%

Suzhou Dongwu win, they blank 14%

Yanbian Longding FC win, both score 17%

Yanbian Longding FC win, they blank 29%

Suzhou Dongwu score 2 or fewer 93%

Yanbian Longding FC score 2 or fewer 85%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.