FC Masters
All picks
Liga MX, Mexico
Club América
Toluca

Solid pick

2 or more goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

46%Club América 25%Draw 28%Toluca

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.8Club América expected goals 1.2Toluca
Over 1.5 goals 80%
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Over 3.5 goals 34%
Under 2.5 goals 43%
Under 3.5 goals 66%
Under 4.5 goals 82%
Both teams score 59%
Home team scores 83%
Away team scores 70%
Home team over 1.5 goals 52%
Away team over 1.5 goals 34%

Safer ways to back a side

Club América or draw 72%
Toluca or draw 54%
Either team wins 75%
Club América, draw no bet 62%
Toluca, draw no bet 38%
Club América +1.5 89%
Toluca +1.5 73%
Club América +1 (Asian) 87%
Toluca +1 (Asian) 65%
Club América or draw, 2 or more goals 60%
Toluca or draw, 2 or more goals 40%
Club América or draw, 3 or more goals 40%
Toluca or draw, 3 or more goals 24%
Club América win, both score 25%
Club América win, they blank 24%
Toluca win, both score 14%
Toluca win, they blank 11%
Club América score 2 or fewer 74%
Toluca score 2 or fewer 88%

The numbers behind it

Club AméricaToluca
2.4Scored per game2.1
1.4Conceded per game1.4
2.6Scored, last 51.4
14Games this season14

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.