FC Masters
All picks
Championship, England
Bolton
Bristol City

Solid pick

2 or more goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.9 goals in this match.

Who wins?

27%Bolton 26%Draw 47%Bristol City

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.1Bolton expected goals 1.8Bristol City
Over 1.5 goals 80%
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Over 3.5 goals 33%
Under 2.5 goals 45%
Under 3.5 goals 67%
Under 4.5 goals 83%
Both teams score 57%
Home team scores 68%
Away team scores 83%
Home team over 1.5 goals 32%
Away team over 1.5 goals 52%

Safer ways to back a side

Bolton or draw 53%
Bristol City or draw 73%
Either team wins 74%
Bolton, draw no bet 36%
Bristol City, draw no bet 64%
Bolton +1.5 72%
Bristol City +1.5 90%
Bolton +1 (Asian) 63%
Bristol City +1 (Asian) 89%
Bolton or draw, 2 or more goals 38%
Bristol City or draw, 2 or more goals 61%
Bolton or draw, 3 or more goals 22%
Bristol City or draw, 3 or more goals 40%
Bolton win, both score 13%
Bolton win, they blank 11%
Bristol City win, both score 25%
Bristol City win, they blank 25%
Bolton score 2 or fewer 89%
Bristol City score 2 or fewer 74%

The numbers behind it

BoltonBristol City
1.3Scored per game1.0
1.9Conceded per game1.2
1.8Scored, last 50.6
12Games this season12

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.