West Ham win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

78% sure

West Ham are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

58%West Ham 23%Draw 19%West Brom

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.1West Ham expected goals 1.1West Brom

Over 1.5 goals 84%

Over 2.5 goals 62%

Over 3.5 goals 40%

Under 2.5 goals 38%

Under 3.5 goals 60%

Under 4.5 goals 78%

Both teams score 60%

Home team scores 87%

Away team scores 68%

Home team over 1.5 goals 61%

Away team over 1.5 goals 32%

West Ham or draw 81%

West Brom or draw 42%

Either team wins 77%

West Ham, draw no bet 75%

West Brom, draw no bet 25%

West Ham +1.5 92%

West Brom +1.5 64%

West Ham +1 (Asian) 91%

West Brom +1 (Asian) 54%

West Ham or draw, 2 or more goals 68%

West Brom or draw, 2 or more goals 33%

West Ham or draw, 3 or more goals 49%

West Brom or draw, 3 or more goals 20%

West Ham win, both score 31%

West Ham win, they blank 27%

West Brom win, both score 12%

West Brom win, they blank 8%

West Ham score 2 or fewer 66%

West Brom score 2 or fewer 89%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.