Birmingham win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Away win, draw no bet

75% sure

Birmingham are the likelier winners, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

17%Lincoln 23%Draw 59%Birmingham

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.8Lincoln expected goals 2.1Birmingham

Over 1.5 goals 79%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

Over 3.5 goals 32%

Under 2.5 goals 46%

Under 3.5 goals 68%

Under 4.5 goals 84%

Both teams score 47%

Home team scores 53%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 17%

Away team over 1.5 goals 62%

Lincoln or draw 41%

Birmingham or draw 83%

Either team wins 77%

Lincoln, draw no bet 23%

Birmingham, draw no bet 77%

Lincoln +1.5 56%

Birmingham +1.5 92%

Lincoln +1 (Asian) 42%

Birmingham +1 (Asian) 92%

Lincoln or draw, 2 or more goals 22%

Birmingham or draw, 2 or more goals 71%

Lincoln or draw, 3 or more goals 11%

Birmingham or draw, 3 or more goals 48%

Lincoln win, both score 6%

Lincoln win, they blank 6%

Birmingham win, both score 27%

Birmingham win, they blank 40%

Lincoln score 2 or fewer 93%

Birmingham score 2 or fewer 65%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.