FC Masters
All picks
Ligue 1, France
Estac Troyes
Le Mans

Solid pick

2 or more goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

28%Estac Troyes 26%Draw 46%Le Mans

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.1Estac Troyes expected goals 1.9Le Mans
Over 1.5 goals 80%
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Over 3.5 goals 34%
Under 2.5 goals 43%
Under 3.5 goals 66%
Under 4.5 goals 82%
Both teams score 57%
Home team scores 67%
Away team scores 84%
Home team over 1.5 goals 30%
Away team over 1.5 goals 55%

Safer ways to back a side

Estac Troyes or draw 54%
Le Mans or draw 72%
Either team wins 74%
Estac Troyes, draw no bet 38%
Le Mans, draw no bet 62%
Estac Troyes +1.5 69%
Le Mans +1.5 92%
Estac Troyes +1 (Asian) 59%
Le Mans +1 (Asian) 90%
Estac Troyes or draw, 2 or more goals 35%
Le Mans or draw, 2 or more goals 64%
Estac Troyes or draw, 3 or more goals 20%
Le Mans or draw, 3 or more goals 43%
Estac Troyes win, both score 12%
Estac Troyes win, they blank 9%
Le Mans win, both score 27%
Le Mans win, they blank 27%
Estac Troyes score 2 or fewer 90%
Le Mans score 2 or fewer 72%

The numbers behind it

Estac TroyesLe Mans
0.6Scored per game1.4
2.0Conceded per game2.0
0.6Scored, last 51.0
8Games this season8

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.