Barcelona win

On your slip: Home win

76% sure

Barcelona are expected to outscore Alavés at home, roughly 2.7 goals to 0.9.

Who wins?

79%Barcelona 14%Draw 8%Alavés

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.7Barcelona expected goals 0.9Alavés

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 69%

Over 3.5 goals 47%

Under 2.5 goals 31%

Under 3.5 goals 53%

Under 4.5 goals 72%

Both teams score 55%

Home team scores 93%

Away team scores 58%

Home team over 1.5 goals 75%

Away team over 1.5 goals 22%

Barcelona or draw 92%

Alavés or draw 21%

Either team wins 86%

Barcelona, draw no bet 90%

Alavés, draw no bet 9%

Barcelona +1.5 93%

Alavés +1.5 46%

Barcelona +1 (Asian) 93%

Alavés +1 (Asian) 32%

Barcelona or draw, 2 or more goals 80%

Alavés or draw, 2 or more goals 20%

Barcelona or draw, 3 or more goals 63%

Alavés or draw, 3 or more goals 11%

Barcelona win, both score 37%

Barcelona win, they blank 38%

Alavés win, both score 6%

Alavés win, they blank 3%

Barcelona score 2 or fewer 50%

Alavés score 2 or fewer 92%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.