2 or more goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

78% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

33%Consadole Sapporo 27%Draw 40%Shonan Bellmare

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.4Consadole Sapporo expected goals 1.6Shonan Bellmare

Over 1.5 goals 81%

Over 2.5 goals 58%

Over 3.5 goals 36%

Under 2.5 goals 42%

Under 3.5 goals 64%

Under 4.5 goals 81%

Both teams score 61%

Home team scores 75%

Away team scores 81%

Home team over 1.5 goals 40%

Away team over 1.5 goals 49%

Consadole Sapporo or draw 60%

Shonan Bellmare or draw 67%

Either team wins 73%

Consadole Sapporo, draw no bet 45%

Shonan Bellmare, draw no bet 55%

Consadole Sapporo +1.5 77%

Shonan Bellmare +1.5 86%

Consadole Sapporo +1 (Asian) 71%

Shonan Bellmare +1 (Asian) 83%

Consadole Sapporo or draw, 2 or more goals 45%

Shonan Bellmare or draw, 2 or more goals 56%

Consadole Sapporo or draw, 3 or more goals 29%

Shonan Bellmare or draw, 3 or more goals 37%

Consadole Sapporo win, both score 18%

Consadole Sapporo win, they blank 13%

Shonan Bellmare win, both score 24%

Shonan Bellmare win, they blank 19%

Consadole Sapporo score 2 or fewer 84%

Shonan Bellmare score 2 or fewer 77%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.