Villarreal win or draw

On your slip: Home or draw

75% sure

Villarreal are hard to beat at home; Espanyol are expected to manage only about 1.2 goals.

Who wins?

58%Villarreal 23%Draw 20%Espanyol

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.9Villarreal expected goals 1.2Espanyol

Over 1.5 goals 83%

Over 2.5 goals 60%

Over 3.5 goals 37%

Under 2.5 goals 40%

Under 3.5 goals 63%

Under 4.5 goals 80%

Both teams score 60%

Home team scores 85%

Away team scores 70%

Home team over 1.5 goals 57%

Away team over 1.5 goals 33%

Villarreal or draw 80%

Espanyol or draw 42%

Either team wins 77%

Villarreal, draw no bet 74%

Espanyol, draw no bet 26%

Villarreal +1.5 91%

Espanyol +1.5 69%

Villarreal +1 (Asian) 89%

Espanyol +1 (Asian) 60%

Villarreal or draw, 2 or more goals 64%

Espanyol or draw, 2 or more goals 37%

Villarreal or draw, 3 or more goals 45%

Espanyol or draw, 3 or more goals 23%

Villarreal win, both score 28%

Villarreal win, they blank 25%

Espanyol win, both score 13%

Espanyol win, they blank 9%

Villarreal score 2 or fewer 70%

Espanyol score 2 or fewer 88%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.