FC Masters
All picks
Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mineros de Zacatecas

Solid pick

2 or more goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

42%Alebrijes de Oaxaca 26%Draw 32%Mineros de Zacatecas

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.7Alebrijes de Oaxaca expected goals 1.3Mineros de Zacatecas
Over 1.5 goals 81%
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Over 3.5 goals 35%
Under 2.5 goals 43%
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Under 4.5 goals 82%
Both teams score 60%
Home team scores 82%
Away team scores 72%
Home team over 1.5 goals 51%
Away team over 1.5 goals 36%

Safer ways to back a side

Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw 68%
Mineros de Zacatecas or draw 58%
Either team wins 74%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca, draw no bet 57%
Mineros de Zacatecas, draw no bet 43%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca +1.5 88%
Mineros de Zacatecas +1.5 75%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca +1 (Asian) 86%
Mineros de Zacatecas +1 (Asian) 68%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw, 2 or more goals 59%
Mineros de Zacatecas or draw, 2 or more goals 42%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw, 3 or more goals 39%
Mineros de Zacatecas or draw, 3 or more goals 26%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca win, both score 24%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca win, they blank 22%
Mineros de Zacatecas win, both score 16%
Mineros de Zacatecas win, they blank 12%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca score 2 or fewer 76%
Mineros de Zacatecas score 2 or fewer 86%

The numbers behind it

Alebrijes de OaxacaMineros de Zacatecas
1.0Scored per game1.9
1.8Conceded per game1.8
1.4Scored, last 51.6
14Games this season14

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.