FC Masters
All picks
Serie A, Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo

Solid pick

Flamengo win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Away win, draw no bet

Flamengo are the likelier winners, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

17%Vasco DA Gama 24%Draw 58%Flamengo

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

0.8Vasco DA Gama expected goals 1.8Flamengo
Over 1.5 goals 75%
Over 2.5 goals 48%
Over 3.5 goals 27%
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Under 3.5 goals 73%
Under 4.5 goals 88%
Both teams score 46%
Home team scores 54%
Away team scores 84%
Home team over 1.5 goals 18%
Away team over 1.5 goals 55%

Safer ways to back a side

Vasco DA Gama or draw 42%
Flamengo or draw 83%
Either team wins 76%
Vasco DA Gama, draw no bet 23%
Flamengo, draw no bet 77%
Vasco DA Gama +1.5 63%
Flamengo +1.5 92%
Vasco DA Gama +1 (Asian) 51%
Flamengo +1 (Asian) 92%
Vasco DA Gama or draw, 2 or more goals 25%
Flamengo or draw, 2 or more goals 65%
Vasco DA Gama or draw, 3 or more goals 12%
Flamengo or draw, 3 or more goals 41%
Vasco DA Gama win, both score 7%
Vasco DA Gama win, they blank 7%
Flamengo win, both score 24%
Flamengo win, they blank 38%
Vasco DA Gama score 2 or fewer 93%
Flamengo score 2 or fewer 72%

The numbers behind it

Vasco DA GamaFlamengo
1.3Scored per game2.0
1.5Conceded per game0.8
1.0Scored, last 51.4
31Games this season32

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.