Santos
Palmeiras
Solid pick
Palmeiras win or draw
On your slip: Away or draw
79%
sure
- 2.6goals expected in this match
- 55%chance Palmeiras win
- 3.3goals a game these two score between them
Palmeiras are the stronger side and should avoid defeat, even away from home.
Who wins?
20%Santos
26%Draw
55%Palmeiras
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
0.8Santos
expected goals
1.8Palmeiras
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
Under 3.5 goals
74%
Under 4.5 goals
88%
Both teams score
45%
Home team scores
53%
Away team scores
84%
Home team over 1.5 goals
17%
Away team over 1.5 goals
55%
Safer ways to back a side
Santos or draw
45%
Palmeiras or draw
80%
Either team wins
74%
Santos, draw no bet
26%
Palmeiras, draw no bet
74%
Santos +1.5
63%
Palmeiras +1.5
92%
Santos or draw, 2+ goals
25%
Palmeiras or draw, 2+ goals
65%
The numbers behind it
| Santos | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Scored per game | 1.8 |
| 1.5 | Conceded per game | 0.7 |
| 1.6 | Scored, last 5 | 2.0 |
| 32 | Games this season | 32 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.