2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

79% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

32%Parma 28%Draw 40%Udinese

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.4Parma expected goals 1.6Udinese

Over 1.5 goals 81%

Over 2.5 goals 58%

Over 3.5 goals 36%

Under 2.5 goals 42%

Under 3.5 goals 64%

Under 4.5 goals 81%

Both teams score 61%

Home team scores 75%

Away team scores 80%

Home team over 1.5 goals 41%

Away team over 1.5 goals 48%

Parma or draw 60%

Udinese or draw 68%

Either team wins 72%

Parma, draw no bet 45%

Udinese, draw no bet 55%

Parma +1.5 79%

Udinese +1.5 85%

Parma or draw, 2+ goals 47%

Udinese or draw, 2+ goals 55%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.