FC Masters
All picks
Primera A, Colombia
Chico
Junior

Solid pick

3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.0 goals.

Who wins?

34%Chico 32%Draw 34%Junior

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.1Chico expected goals 0.9Junior
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Over 2.5 goals 32%
Over 3.5 goals 14%
Under 2.5 goals 68%
Under 3.5 goals 86%
Under 4.5 goals 93%
Both teams score 41%
Home team scores 65%
Away team scores 60%
Home team over 1.5 goals 28%
Away team over 1.5 goals 24%

Safer ways to back a side

Chico or draw 66%
Junior or draw 66%
Either team wins 68%
Chico, draw no bet 50%
Junior, draw no bet 50%
Chico +1.5 89%
Junior +1.5 85%
Chico or draw, 2+ goals 42%
Junior or draw, 2+ goals 37%

The numbers behind it

ChicoJunior
0.8Scored per game1.6
1.7Conceded per game1.4
0.4Scored, last 51.0
34Games this season40

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.