FC Masters
All picks
National League, England
Worthing
Southend

Solid pick

2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.4 goals in this match.

Who wins?

32%Worthing 24%Draw 44%Southend

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.5Worthing expected goals 1.9Southend
Over 1.5 goals 87%
Over 2.5 goals 66%
Over 3.5 goals 45%
Under 2.5 goals 34%
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Under 4.5 goals 74%
Both teams score 68%
Home team scores 78%
Away team scores 85%
Home team over 1.5 goals 45%
Away team over 1.5 goals 56%

Safer ways to back a side

Worthing or draw 56%
Southend or draw 68%
Either team wins 76%
Worthing, draw no bet 42%
Southend, draw no bet 58%
Worthing +1.5 74%
Southend +1.5 85%
Worthing or draw, 2+ goals 46%
Southend or draw, 2+ goals 60%

The numbers behind it

WorthingSouthend
2.1Scored per game2.4
1.4Conceded per game1.5
2.0Scored, last 51.8
14Games this season14

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.