FC Masters
All picks
Azerbaijan Premier League, World
Mil-Muğan
Şamaxı

Solid pick

Şamaxı win or draw

On your slip: Away or draw

Şamaxı are the stronger side and should avoid defeat, even away from home.

Who wins?

23%Mil-Muğan 26%Draw 50%Şamaxı

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

0.9Mil-Muğan expected goals 1.8Şamaxı
Over 1.5 goals 76%
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Over 3.5 goals 29%
Under 2.5 goals 49%
Under 3.5 goals 71%
Under 4.5 goals 86%
Both teams score 51%
Home team scores 60%
Away team scores 83%
Home team over 1.5 goals 23%
Away team over 1.5 goals 54%

Safer ways to back a side

Mil-Muğan or draw 50%
Şamaxı or draw 77%
Either team wins 74%
Mil-Muğan, draw no bet 32%
Şamaxı, draw no bet 68%
Mil-Muğan +1.5 66%
Şamaxı +1.5 92%
Mil-Muğan or draw, 2+ goals 30%
Şamaxı or draw, 2+ goals 64%

The numbers behind it

Mil-MuğanŞamaxı
0.9Scored per game1.5
1.6Conceded per game1.1
1.0Scored, last 52.2
8Games this season8

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.