FC Masters
All picks
J2 League, Japan
Shonan Bellmare
Tochigi City

Solid pick

2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.4 goals in this match.

Who wins?

41%Shonan Bellmare 25%Draw 34%Tochigi City

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.8Shonan Bellmare expected goals 1.7Tochigi City
Over 1.5 goals 87%
Over 2.5 goals 67%
Over 3.5 goals 45%
Under 2.5 goals 33%
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Under 4.5 goals 73%
Both teams score 68%
Home team scores 83%
Away team scores 82%
Home team over 1.5 goals 52%
Away team over 1.5 goals 50%

Safer ways to back a side

Shonan Bellmare or draw 66%
Tochigi City or draw 59%
Either team wins 75%
Shonan Bellmare, draw no bet 54%
Tochigi City, draw no bet 46%
Shonan Bellmare +1.5 81%
Tochigi City +1.5 79%
Shonan Bellmare or draw, 2+ goals 55%
Tochigi City or draw, 2+ goals 52%

The numbers behind it

Shonan BellmareTochigi City
1.7Scored per game1.9
1.4Conceded per game2.2
0.8Scored, last 51.0
32Games this season32

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.