FC Tokyo win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

84% sure

FC Tokyo are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

63%FC Tokyo 24%Draw 13%Mito Hollyhock

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6FC Tokyo expected goals 0.6Mito Hollyhock

Over 1.5 goals 66%

Over 2.5 goals 38%

Over 3.5 goals 18%

Under 2.5 goals 62%

Under 3.5 goals 82%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 39%

Home team scores 79%

Away team scores 48%

Home team over 1.5 goals 47%

Away team over 1.5 goals 14%

FC Tokyo or draw 87%

Mito Hollyhock or draw 37%

Either team wins 76%

FC Tokyo, draw no bet 83%

Mito Hollyhock, draw no bet 17%

FC Tokyo +1.5 93%

Mito Hollyhock +1.5 68%

FC Tokyo or draw, 2+ goals 58%

Mito Hollyhock or draw, 2+ goals 23%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.