2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

83% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.3 goals in this match.

Who wins?

27%Querétaro 25%Draw 48%Cruz Azul

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.4Querétaro expected goals 1.9Cruz Azul

Over 1.5 goals 86%

Over 2.5 goals 65%

Over 3.5 goals 43%

Under 2.5 goals 35%

Under 3.5 goals 57%

Under 4.5 goals 76%

Both teams score 66%

Home team scores 76%

Away team scores 85%

Home team over 1.5 goals 41%

Away team over 1.5 goals 57%

Querétaro or draw 52%

Cruz Azul or draw 73%

Either team wins 75%

Querétaro, draw no bet 36%

Cruz Azul, draw no bet 64%

Querétaro +1.5 72%

Cruz Azul +1.5 87%

Querétaro or draw, 2+ goals 43%

Cruz Azul or draw, 2+ goals 62%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.