FC Masters
All picks
Ligue 1, France
Toulouse
Estac Troyes

Solid pick

Toulouse win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

Toulouse are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

58%Toulouse 24%Draw 18%Estac Troyes

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.9Toulouse expected goals 0.9Estac Troyes
Over 1.5 goals 77%
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Over 3.5 goals 30%
Under 2.5 goals 48%
Under 3.5 goals 70%
Under 4.5 goals 85%
Both teams score 52%
Home team scores 84%
Away team scores 60%
Home team over 1.5 goals 55%
Away team over 1.5 goals 24%

Safer ways to back a side

Toulouse or draw 82%
Estac Troyes or draw 42%
Either team wins 76%
Toulouse, draw no bet 77%
Estac Troyes, draw no bet 23%
Toulouse +1.5 93%
Estac Troyes +1.5 65%
Toulouse or draw, 2+ goals 65%
Estac Troyes or draw, 2+ goals 30%

The numbers behind it

ToulouseEstac Troyes
1.7Scored per game0.7
1.6Conceded per game2.3
2.4Scored, last 50.6
7Games this season7

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.