2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

78% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

43%Genoa 27%Draw 30%Venezia

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Genoa expected goals 1.4Venezia

Over 1.5 goals 81%

Over 2.5 goals 58%

Over 3.5 goals 35%

Under 2.5 goals 42%

Under 3.5 goals 65%

Under 4.5 goals 81%

Both teams score 61%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 75%

Home team over 1.5 goals 48%

Away team over 1.5 goals 40%

Genoa or draw 70%

Venezia or draw 57%

Either team wins 73%

Genoa, draw no bet 59%

Venezia, draw no bet 41%

Genoa +1.5 85%

Venezia +1.5 78%

Genoa or draw, 2+ goals 56%

Venezia or draw, 2+ goals 46%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.