One team blanks

On your slip: Not both to score

76% sure

One side should struggle to score: about 0.4 expected goals for the weaker attack.

Who wins?

62%Athletic Club 27%Draw 11%Getafe

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.4Athletic Club expected goals 0.4Getafe

Over 1.5 goals 54%

Over 2.5 goals 26%

Over 3.5 goals 10%

Under 2.5 goals 74%

Under 3.5 goals 90%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 24%

Home team scores 75%

Away team scores 31%

Home team over 1.5 goals 41%

Away team over 1.5 goals 5%

Athletic Club or draw 89%

Getafe or draw 38%

Either team wins 73%

Athletic Club, draw no bet 85%

Getafe, draw no bet 15%

Athletic Club +1.5 93%

Getafe +1.5 67%

Athletic Club or draw, 2+ goals 50%

Getafe or draw, 2+ goals 14%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.