Leeds win or draw

On your slip: Away or draw

76% sure

Leeds are the stronger side and should avoid defeat, even away from home.

Who wins?

25%Sunderland 29%Draw 46%Leeds

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.8Sunderland expected goals 1.4Leeds

Over 1.5 goals 67%

Over 2.5 goals 39%

Over 3.5 goals 19%

Under 2.5 goals 61%

Under 3.5 goals 81%

Under 4.5 goals 92%

Both teams score 44%

Home team scores 56%

Away team scores 76%

Home team over 1.5 goals 20%

Away team over 1.5 goals 42%

Sunderland or draw 54%

Leeds or draw 75%

Either team wins 71%

Sunderland, draw no bet 35%

Leeds, draw no bet 65%

Sunderland +1.5 74%

Leeds +1.5 92%

Sunderland or draw, 2+ goals 31%

Leeds or draw, 2+ goals 54%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.