3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

80% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.0 goals.

Who wins?

31%Zhetysu 31%Draw 38%FK Tobol Kostanay

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Zhetysu expected goals 1.1FK Tobol Kostanay

Over 1.5 goals 61%

Over 2.5 goals 33%

Over 3.5 goals 15%

Under 2.5 goals 67%

Under 3.5 goals 85%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 41%

Home team scores 60%

Away team scores 67%

Home team over 1.5 goals 24%

Away team over 1.5 goals 30%

Zhetysu or draw 62%

FK Tobol Kostanay or draw 69%

Either team wins 69%

Zhetysu, draw no bet 44%

FK Tobol Kostanay, draw no bet 56%

Zhetysu +1.5 84%

FK Tobol Kostanay +1.5 89%

Zhetysu or draw, 2+ goals 36%

FK Tobol Kostanay or draw, 2+ goals 43%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.