2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

76% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.9 goals in this match.

Who wins?

32%Wuhan Three Towns 26%Draw 42%Shandong Taishan

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.4Wuhan Three Towns expected goals 1.5Shandong Taishan

Over 1.5 goals 79%

Over 2.5 goals 55%

Over 3.5 goals 32%

Under 2.5 goals 45%

Under 3.5 goals 68%

Under 4.5 goals 84%

Both teams score 59%

Home team scores 75%

Away team scores 78%

Home team over 1.5 goals 40%

Away team over 1.5 goals 44%

Wuhan Three Towns or draw 58%

Shandong Taishan or draw 68%

Either team wins 74%

Wuhan Three Towns, draw no bet 43%

Shandong Taishan, draw no bet 57%

Wuhan Three Towns +1.5 80%

Shandong Taishan +1.5 84%

Wuhan Three Towns or draw, 2+ goals 47%

Shandong Taishan or draw, 2+ goals 52%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.