3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

79% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.1 goals.

Who wins?

26%Dalian Huayi 29%Draw 45%Guangxi Hengchen

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Dalian Huayi expected goals 1.2Guangxi Hengchen

Over 1.5 goals 64%

Over 2.5 goals 35%

Over 3.5 goals 16%

Under 2.5 goals 65%

Under 3.5 goals 84%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 43%

Home team scores 59%

Away team scores 70%

Home team over 1.5 goals 23%

Away team over 1.5 goals 34%

Dalian Huayi or draw 55%

Guangxi Hengchen or draw 74%

Either team wins 71%

Dalian Huayi, draw no bet 36%

Guangxi Hengchen, draw no bet 64%

Dalian Huayi +1.5 81%

Guangxi Hengchen +1.5 91%

Dalian Huayi or draw, 2+ goals 35%

Guangxi Hengchen or draw, 2+ goals 47%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.