3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

77% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

36%Al Riyadh 30%Draw 33%Al Taawoun FC

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.2Al Riyadh expected goals 1.0Al Taawoun FC

Over 1.5 goals 65%

Over 2.5 goals 37%

Over 3.5 goals 18%

Under 2.5 goals 63%

Under 3.5 goals 82%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 45%

Home team scores 70%

Away team scores 62%

Home team over 1.5 goals 34%

Away team over 1.5 goals 25%

Al Riyadh or draw 67%

Al Taawoun FC or draw 64%

Either team wins 70%

Al Riyadh, draw no bet 52%

Al Taawoun FC, draw no bet 48%

Al Riyadh +1.5 89%

Al Taawoun FC +1.5 82%

Al Riyadh or draw, 2+ goals 47%

Al Taawoun FC or draw, 2+ goals 37%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.