Fluminense win or draw, plus 2+ goals

On your slip: Away or draw & over 1.5 goals

76% sure

Fluminense should avoid defeat and this match should have goals, about 3.6.

Who wins?

17%Chapecoense 21%Draw 61%Fluminense

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.1Chapecoense expected goals 2.5Fluminense

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 70%

Over 3.5 goals 49%

Under 2.5 goals 30%

Under 3.5 goals 51%

Under 4.5 goals 70%

Both teams score 63%

Home team scores 67%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 31%

Away team over 1.5 goals 72%

Chapecoense or draw 39%

Fluminense or draw 83%

Either team wins 79%

Chapecoense, draw no bet 22%

Fluminense, draw no bet 78%

Chapecoense +1.5 54%

Fluminense +1.5 92%

Chapecoense or draw, 2+ goals 28%

Fluminense or draw, 2+ goals 76%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.