Palmeiras win (draw = money back)

On your slip: Home win, draw no bet

83% sure

Palmeiras are the likelier winners at home, and a draw gives the stake back.

Who wins?

61%Palmeiras 25%Draw 13%RB Bragantino

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Palmeiras expected goals 0.6RB Bragantino

Over 1.5 goals 64%

Over 2.5 goals 37%

Over 3.5 goals 17%

Under 2.5 goals 63%

Under 3.5 goals 83%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 35%

Home team scores 80%

Away team scores 43%

Home team over 1.5 goals 47%

Away team over 1.5 goals 11%

Palmeiras or draw 87%

RB Bragantino or draw 39%

Either team wins 75%

Palmeiras, draw no bet 82%

RB Bragantino, draw no bet 18%

Palmeiras +1.5 93%

RB Bragantino +1.5 65%

Palmeiras or draw, 2+ goals 58%

RB Bragantino or draw, 2+ goals 20%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.