2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

79% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

45%Vitoria 26%Draw 29%Athletico Paranaense

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.8Vitoria expected goals 1.2Athletico Paranaense

Over 1.5 goals 82%

Over 2.5 goals 58%

Over 3.5 goals 36%

Under 2.5 goals 42%

Under 3.5 goals 64%

Under 4.5 goals 81%

Both teams score 60%

Home team scores 83%

Away team scores 71%

Home team over 1.5 goals 53%

Away team over 1.5 goals 36%

Vitoria or draw 71%

Athletico Paranaense or draw 55%

Either team wins 74%

Vitoria, draw no bet 61%

Athletico Paranaense, draw no bet 39%

Vitoria +1.5 89%

Athletico Paranaense +1.5 73%

Vitoria or draw, 2+ goals 61%

Athletico Paranaense or draw, 2+ goals 40%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.