Burnley score 2+

On your slip: Away team over 1.5 goals

75% sure

Burnley score freely and face a leaky Lincoln defence: about 2.7 expected goals.

Who wins?

19%Lincoln 21%Draw 61%Burnley

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.1Lincoln expected goals 2.7Burnley

Over 1.5 goals 88%

Over 2.5 goals 72%

Over 3.5 goals 51%

Under 2.5 goals 28%

Under 3.5 goals 49%

Under 4.5 goals 68%

Both teams score 61%

Home team scores 65%

Away team scores 88%

Home team over 1.5 goals 28%

Away team over 1.5 goals 75%

Lincoln or draw 39%

Burnley or draw 81%

Either team wins 79%

Lincoln, draw no bet 24%

Burnley, draw no bet 76%

Lincoln +1.5 49%

Burnley +1.5 92%

Lincoln or draw, 2+ goals 24%

Burnley or draw, 2+ goals 80%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.