2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

78% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.0 goals in this match.

Who wins?

45%Stoke City 27%Draw 29%Bristol City

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.7Stoke City expected goals 1.3Bristol City

Over 1.5 goals 81%

Over 2.5 goals 58%

Over 3.5 goals 35%

Under 2.5 goals 42%

Under 3.5 goals 65%

Under 4.5 goals 81%

Both teams score 60%

Home team scores 82%

Away team scores 72%

Home team over 1.5 goals 52%

Away team over 1.5 goals 37%

Stoke City or draw 71%

Bristol City or draw 55%

Either team wins 73%

Stoke City, draw no bet 61%

Bristol City, draw no bet 39%

Stoke City +1.5 88%

Bristol City +1.5 74%

Stoke City or draw, 2+ goals 59%

Bristol City or draw, 2+ goals 42%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.