3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

79% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.1 goals.

Who wins?

43%Charlton 29%Draw 28%Norwich City

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.4Charlton expected goals 0.8Norwich City

Over 1.5 goals 63%

Over 2.5 goals 35%

Over 3.5 goals 16%

Under 2.5 goals 65%

Under 3.5 goals 84%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 40%

Home team scores 74%

Away team scores 53%

Home team over 1.5 goals 39%

Away team over 1.5 goals 17%

Charlton or draw 72%

Norwich City or draw 57%

Either team wins 71%

Charlton, draw no bet 61%

Norwich City, draw no bet 39%

Charlton +1.5 93%

Norwich City +1.5 75%

Charlton or draw, 2+ goals 52%

Norwich City or draw, 2+ goals 29%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.