2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

83% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.4 goals in this match.

Who wins?

41%Portsmouth FC 26%Draw 33%Millwall

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.8Portsmouth FC expected goals 1.6Millwall

Over 1.5 goals 86%

Over 2.5 goals 65%

Over 3.5 goals 43%

Under 2.5 goals 35%

Under 3.5 goals 57%

Under 4.5 goals 75%

Both teams score 67%

Home team scores 83%

Away team scores 79%

Home team over 1.5 goals 53%

Away team over 1.5 goals 47%

Portsmouth FC or draw 67%

Millwall or draw 59%

Either team wins 74%

Portsmouth FC, draw no bet 55%

Millwall, draw no bet 45%

Portsmouth FC +1.5 83%

Millwall +1.5 77%

Portsmouth FC or draw, 2+ goals 57%

Millwall or draw, 2+ goals 49%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.