Sheffield United win or draw

On your slip: Home or draw

77% sure

Sheffield United are hard to beat at home; Derby are expected to manage only about 0.9 goals.

Who wins?

55%Sheffield United 25%Draw 19%Derby

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.8Sheffield United expected goals 0.9Derby

Over 1.5 goals 75%

Over 2.5 goals 49%

Over 3.5 goals 28%

Under 2.5 goals 51%

Under 3.5 goals 72%

Under 4.5 goals 87%

Both teams score 50%

Home team scores 83%

Away team scores 59%

Home team over 1.5 goals 53%

Away team over 1.5 goals 22%

Sheffield United or draw 81%

Derby or draw 45%

Either team wins 75%

Sheffield United, draw no bet 74%

Derby, draw no bet 26%

Sheffield United +1.5 93%

Derby +1.5 67%

Sheffield United or draw, 2+ goals 63%

Derby or draw, 2+ goals 29%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.