2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

75% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.8 goals in this match.

Who wins?

42%Lens 27%Draw 31%Paris FC

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Lens expected goals 1.2Paris FC

Over 1.5 goals 78%

Over 2.5 goals 53%

Over 3.5 goals 31%

Under 2.5 goals 47%

Under 3.5 goals 69%

Under 4.5 goals 85%

Both teams score 57%

Home team scores 79%

Away team scores 71%

Home team over 1.5 goals 46%

Away team over 1.5 goals 35%

Lens or draw 69%

Paris FC or draw 58%

Either team wins 73%

Lens, draw no bet 58%

Paris FC, draw no bet 42%

Lens +1.5 87%

Paris FC +1.5 77%

Lens or draw, 2+ goals 56%

Paris FC or draw, 2+ goals 42%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.