2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

75% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.8 goals in this match.

Who wins?

44%FC Koln 27%Draw 29%FC Schalke 04

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6FC Koln expected goals 1.2FC Schalke 04

Over 1.5 goals 78%

Over 2.5 goals 53%

Over 3.5 goals 31%

Under 2.5 goals 47%

Under 3.5 goals 69%

Under 4.5 goals 85%

Both teams score 57%

Home team scores 79%

Away team scores 71%

Home team over 1.5 goals 46%

Away team over 1.5 goals 35%

FC Koln or draw 71%

FC Schalke 04 or draw 56%

Either team wins 73%

FC Koln, draw no bet 60%

FC Schalke 04, draw no bet 40%

FC Koln +1.5 87%

FC Schalke 04 +1.5 78%

FC Koln or draw, 2+ goals 55%

FC Schalke 04 or draw, 2+ goals 43%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.