2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

76% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.8 goals in this match.

Who wins?

46%SC Paderborn 07 26%Draw 28%Hamburger SV

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.7SC Paderborn 07 expected goals 1.2Hamburger SV

Over 1.5 goals 79%

Over 2.5 goals 54%

Over 3.5 goals 32%

Under 2.5 goals 46%

Under 3.5 goals 68%

Under 4.5 goals 84%

Both teams score 57%

Home team scores 82%

Away team scores 69%

Home team over 1.5 goals 50%

Away team over 1.5 goals 32%

SC Paderborn 07 or draw 72%

Hamburger SV or draw 54%

Either team wins 74%

SC Paderborn 07, draw no bet 63%

Hamburger SV, draw no bet 37%

SC Paderborn 07 +1.5 90%

Hamburger SV +1.5 73%

SC Paderborn 07 or draw, 2+ goals 59%

Hamburger SV or draw, 2+ goals 39%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.