FC Masters
All picks
Serie A, Italy
Napoli
AS Roma

Solid pick

AS Roma win or draw

On your slip: Away or draw

AS Roma are the stronger side and should avoid defeat, even away from home.

Who wins?

24%Napoli 29%Draw 47%AS Roma

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

0.8Napoli expected goals 1.4AS Roma
Over 1.5 goals 65%
Over 2.5 goals 37%
Over 3.5 goals 18%
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Under 3.5 goals 82%
Under 4.5 goals 93%
Both teams score 41%
Home team scores 53%
Away team scores 76%
Home team over 1.5 goals 17%
Away team over 1.5 goals 42%

Safer ways to back a side

Napoli or draw 53%
AS Roma or draw 76%
Either team wins 71%
Napoli, draw no bet 34%
AS Roma, draw no bet 66%
Napoli +1.5 73%
AS Roma +1.5 92%
Napoli or draw, 2+ goals 28%
AS Roma or draw, 2+ goals 54%

The numbers behind it

NapoliAS Roma
1.4Scored per game2.3
1.0Conceded per game0.4
1.8Scored, last 52.2
7Games this season7

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.