FC Masters
All picks
La Liga, Spain
Valencia
Villarreal

Solid pick

Villarreal win or draw

On your slip: Away or draw

Villarreal are the stronger side and should avoid defeat, even away from home.

Who wins?

20%Valencia 27%Draw 53%Villarreal

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

0.7Valencia expected goals 1.6Villarreal
Over 1.5 goals 69%
Over 2.5 goals 41%
Over 3.5 goals 21%
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Under 3.5 goals 79%
Under 4.5 goals 91%
Both teams score 42%
Home team scores 51%
Away team scores 80%
Home team over 1.5 goals 16%
Away team over 1.5 goals 48%

Safer ways to back a side

Valencia or draw 47%
Villarreal or draw 80%
Either team wins 73%
Valencia, draw no bet 28%
Villarreal, draw no bet 72%
Valencia +1.5 68%
Villarreal +1.5 92%
Valencia or draw, 2+ goals 26%
Villarreal or draw, 2+ goals 60%

The numbers behind it

ValenciaVillarreal
0.7Scored per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.4
1.0Scored, last 51.8
9Games this season9

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.