La Liga, Spain
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Solid pick
2+ goals
On your slip: Over 1.5 goals
76%
sure
- 2.9goals expected in this match
- 43%chance Rayo Vallecano win
- 2.7goals a game these two score between them
Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 2.9 goals in this match.
Who wins?
43%Rayo Vallecano
27%Draw
30%Elche
Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.
Goals
1.5Rayo Vallecano
expected goals
1.4Elche
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
Under 3.5 goals
68%
Under 4.5 goals
84%
Both teams score
59%
Home team scores
77%
Away team scores
75%
Home team over 1.5 goals
43%
Away team over 1.5 goals
41%
Safer ways to back a side
Rayo Vallecano or draw
70%
Elche or draw
57%
Either team wins
73%
Rayo Vallecano, draw no bet
59%
Elche, draw no bet
41%
Rayo Vallecano +1.5
83%
Elche +1.5
81%
Rayo Vallecano or draw, 2+ goals
51%
Elche or draw, 2+ goals
48%
The numbers behind it
| Rayo Vallecano | Elche | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | Scored per game | 1.2 |
| 2.1 | Conceded per game | 1.9 |
| 1.6 | Scored, last 5 | 1.2 |
| 8 | Games this season | 9 |
These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.