2+ goals

On your slip: Over 1.5 goals

84% sure

Both sides' scoring and conceding rates point to about 3.5 goals in this match.

Who wins?

37%Pakhtakor 25%Draw 38%Neftchi

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.6Pakhtakor expected goals 1.8Neftchi

Over 1.5 goals 87%

Over 2.5 goals 67%

Over 3.5 goals 46%

Under 2.5 goals 33%

Under 3.5 goals 54%

Under 4.5 goals 73%

Both teams score 69%

Home team scores 81%

Away team scores 84%

Home team over 1.5 goals 49%

Away team over 1.5 goals 54%

Pakhtakor or draw 62%

Neftchi or draw 63%

Either team wins 75%

Pakhtakor, draw no bet 50%

Neftchi, draw no bet 50%

Pakhtakor +1.5 77%

Neftchi +1.5 83%

Pakhtakor or draw, 2+ goals 50%

Neftchi or draw, 2+ goals 57%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.