FC Masters
All picks
Liga Leumit, Israel
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Solid pick

3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

39%Maccabi Kiryat Gat 30%Draw 32%Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

Goals

1.1Maccabi Kiryat Gat expected goals 1.1Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Over 1.5 goals 66%
Over 2.5 goals 38%
Over 3.5 goals 19%
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Under 3.5 goals 81%
Under 4.5 goals 92%
Both teams score 46%
Home team scores 66%
Away team scores 68%
Home team over 1.5 goals 30%
Away team over 1.5 goals 31%

Safer ways to back a side

Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw 68%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth or draw 61%
Either team wins 70%
Maccabi Kiryat Gat, draw no bet 55%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, draw no bet 45%
Maccabi Kiryat Gat +1.5 85%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth +1.5 86%
Maccabi Kiryat Gat or draw, 2+ goals 42%
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth or draw, 2+ goals 44%

The numbers behind it

Maccabi Kiryat GatMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
0.9Scored per game1.0
1.1Conceded per game1.7
0.8Scored, last 50.8
10Games this season10

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.