3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

77% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 2.2 goals.

Who wins?

29%Hapoel Hadera 30%Draw 41%Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

0.9Hapoel Hadera expected goals 1.3Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

Over 1.5 goals 65%

Over 2.5 goals 37%

Over 3.5 goals 18%

Under 2.5 goals 63%

Under 3.5 goals 82%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 44%

Home team scores 59%

Away team scores 73%

Home team over 1.5 goals 22%

Away team over 1.5 goals 37%

Hapoel Hadera or draw 59%

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi or draw 71%

Either team wins 70%

Hapoel Hadera, draw no bet 42%

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, draw no bet 58%

Hapoel Hadera +1.5 79%

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi +1.5 91%

Hapoel Hadera or draw, 2+ goals 34%

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi or draw, 2+ goals 50%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.