FC Jerusalem don't lose by 2+

On your slip: Home +1.5 handicap

84% sure

FC Jerusalem rarely lose heavily at home; Hapoel Sderot are expected to score only about 1.3.

Who wins?

40%FC Jerusalem 28%Draw 32%Hapoel Sderot

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

1.3FC Jerusalem expected goals 1.3Hapoel Sderot

Over 1.5 goals 74%

Over 2.5 goals 47%

Over 3.5 goals 26%

Under 2.5 goals 53%

Under 3.5 goals 74%

Under 4.5 goals 88%

Both teams score 54%

Home team scores 73%

Away team scores 72%

Home team over 1.5 goals 37%

Away team over 1.5 goals 36%

FC Jerusalem or draw 68%

Hapoel Sderot or draw 60%

Either team wins 72%

FC Jerusalem, draw no bet 55%

Hapoel Sderot, draw no bet 45%

FC Jerusalem +1.5 84%

Hapoel Sderot +1.5 84%

FC Jerusalem or draw, 2+ goals 47%

Hapoel Sderot or draw, 2+ goals 47%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.