Atlético Nacional win

On your slip: Home win

75% sure

Atlético Nacional are expected to outscore Deportivo Pasto at home, roughly 2.6 goals to 0.5.

Who wins?

78%Atlético Nacional 16%Draw 7%Deportivo Pasto

Blends our model with a second, independent prediction model.

2.6Atlético Nacional expected goals 0.5Deportivo Pasto

Over 1.5 goals 82%

Over 2.5 goals 60%

Over 3.5 goals 37%

Under 2.5 goals 40%

Under 3.5 goals 63%

Under 4.5 goals 80%

Both teams score 38%

Home team scores 92%

Away team scores 41%

Home team over 1.5 goals 73%

Away team over 1.5 goals 10%

Atlético Nacional or draw 93%

Deportivo Pasto or draw 22%

Either team wins 84%

Atlético Nacional, draw no bet 90%

Deportivo Pasto, draw no bet 8%

Atlético Nacional +1.5 93%

Deportivo Pasto +1.5 40%

Atlético Nacional or draw, 2+ goals 79%

Deportivo Pasto or draw, 2+ goals 12%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.