3 goals or fewer

On your slip: Under 3.5 goals

84% sure

Two tight defences and modest attacks point to a low-scoring game, about 1.8 goals.

Who wins?

28%BUL 35%Draw 36%NEC

0.8BUL expected goals 1.0NEC

Over 1.5 goals 55%

Over 2.5 goals 27%

Over 3.5 goals 11%

Under 2.5 goals 73%

Under 3.5 goals 89%

Under 4.5 goals 93%

Both teams score 36%

Home team scores 56%

Away team scores 62%

Home team over 1.5 goals 20%

Away team over 1.5 goals 25%

BUL or draw 64%

NEC or draw 72%

Either team wins 65%

BUL, draw no bet 44%

NEC, draw no bet 56%

BUL +1.5 86%

NEC +1.5 90%

BUL or draw, 2+ goals 33%

NEC or draw, 2+ goals 39%

These numbers come from each team's scoring record, home advantage and recent form. They're estimates, not guarantees.